Bibliography - David S. Wilcove
- Turner, Will R., B. A. Bradley, Lyndon D. Estes, Michael Oppenheimer, and David S. Wilcove, August 2010: Climate Change: Helping Nature Survive the Human Response. Conservation International, doi:10.1111/j.1755-263X.2010.00128.x
[ Abstract ]Climate change poses profound, direct, and well-documented threats to biodiversity.
A significant fraction of Earth’s species is at risk of extinction due to
changing precipitation and temperature regimes, rising and acidifying oceans,
and other factors. There is also growing awareness of the diversity and magnitude
of responses, both proactive and reactive, that people will undertake
as lives and livelihoods are affected by climate change. Yet to date few studies
have examined the relationship between these two powerful forces. The
natural systems upon which people depend, already under direct assault from
climate change, are further threatened by how we respond to climate change.
Human history and recent studies suggest that our actions to cope with climate
change (adaptation) or lessen its rate and magnitude (mitigation) could have
impacts that match—and even exceed—the direct effects of climate change
on ecosystems. If we are to successfully conserve biodiversity and maintain
ecosystem services in a warming world, considerable effort is needed to predict
and reduce the indirect risks created by climate change.
- Bradley, B. A., Michael Oppenheimer, and David S. Wilcove, 2009: Climate Change and Plant Invasions: Restoration Opportunities Ahead. Global Change Biology, 15(6), doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01824.x 1511-1521
[ Abstract ]Rather than simply enhancing invasion risk, climate change may also reduce invasive
plant competitiveness if conditions become climatically unsuitable. Using bioclimatic
envelope modeling, we show that climate change could result in both range expansion
and contraction for five widespread and dominant invasive plants in the western United
States. Yellow starthistle (Centaurea solstitialis) and tamarisk (Tamarix spp.) are likely to
expand with climate change. Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) and spotted knapweed
(Centaurea biebersteinii) are likely to shift in range, leading to both expansion and
contraction. Leafy spurge (Euphorbia esula) is likely to contract. The retreat of onceintractable
invasive species could create restoration opportunities across millions of
hectares. Identifying and establishing native or novel species in places where invasive
species contract will pose a considerable challenge for ecologists and land managers.
This challenge must be addressed before other undesirable species invade and eliminate
restoration opportunities.
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