CMI Integration & Outreach
CMI Integration and Outreach introduces new conceptual frameworks that are useful for climate change policy. One effort seeks to make the emerging statistical analyses of extreme events more accessible. A second effort focuses on improving the risk-assessment framework for the current scientific understanding of sea level rise. A third explores the value for climate policy analysis of adding a new component to traditional carbon accounting that tracks “committed emissions”— the future emissions that are likely to result when a power plant or vehicle or addition to infrastructure is placed into service.
Research Highlights – At a Glance
Stephen Pacala: Novel analyses of extreme weather data have revealed unanticipated statistical patterns in heat exchange between the oceans and atmosphere and have identified a trend of increasing frequency for extreme weather events in modern times.
Michael Oppenheimer: Probabilistic estimates of future sea level rise were developed with the help of detailed information about the Antarctic ice sheet. These estimates have been developed in collaboration with those engaged in coastal risk management against storm-driven flooding in several coastal cities around the world.
Alexander Glaser and M.V. Ramana: The technical characteristics of leading small nuclear reactor designs do not allow them to simultaneously address the major challenges confronting the expansion of nuclear power.
Robert Socolow: Fossil fuels are so abundant that, for any plausible carbon budget target, even a weak one, attractive fossil fuel will be left in the ground. Two new schemes—commitment accounting and carbon budgets—quantify constraints on this abundance for multi-decadal planetary fossil fuel use within two- and three-degree climate change targets.
Current Research Projects
- Anthropogenic Signals in Extreme Climate Events
- Estimates of Local Sea Level Rise and Flood Probability for a Warmer World
- Re-Engineering the Nuclear Future
- Commitment Accounting, Committed Emissions, and Carbon Budgets
- Enhanced Integration and Outreach to Provide Sound Information to Foster Effective Public Policy Discussion
- Integration and Outreach Publications