The Science Group

  • Baidya Roy, S., G. C. Hurtt, C. P. Weaver, and S. W. Pacala, Impact of historical land cover change on the July climate of the United States, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D24), 4793, doi:10.1029/2003JD003565, 2003.
  • Baidya Roy, S., S.W. Pacala and R.L. Walko. 2003. Can Windfarms Generate Their Own Weather? (Submitted to Journal of Geophysical Research)
  • Bender, M. L. (2002) Climate-biosphere interactions on glacial-interglacial timescales, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, in press.
  • Bender, M. L. (2002) Orbital tuning chronology for the Vostok climate record supported by trapped gas composition, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 204, 275-289.
  • Blunier, T., B. Barnett, M. L. Bender and M. B. Hendricks (2002) Biological oxygen productivity during the last 60,000 years from triple oxygen isotope measurements, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 16 (3), art. No. 1029, July-August.
  • Bolker, Benjamin M., Stephen W. Pacala, and Claudia Neuhauser. 2003. Spatial dynamics in model plant communities: what do we really know? American Naturalist Vol. 162:2
  • Brzezinski, M.A., C.J. Pride, V.M. Franck, D.M. Sigman, J.L. Sarmiento, K. Matsumoto, N. Gruber, G.H. Rau, and K.H. Coale, A switch from Si(OH)4 to NO3- depletion in the glacial Southern Ocean, Geophysical Research Letters, 2002. 29, 10.1029/2001GL014349.
  • Casciotti, K.L., D.M. Sigman, M. Galanter Hastings, J.K. Bohlke, and A. Hilkert, Measurement of the oxygen isotopic composition of nitrate in seawater and freshwater using the denitrifier method, Analytical Chemistry, 2002. 74 (19), 4905-4912.
  • Chesson, P., S.W. Pacala and C. Neuhauser. 2002. Environmental Niches and Ecosystem Functioning. Pp. 213-245. In: A.P Kinzig, S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (eds.). The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Deutsch, C., N. Gruber, R. M. Key, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2001. Denitrification and N2 fixation in the Pacific Ocean. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15: 483-506.
  • Deutsch, C., D.M. Sigman, R.C. Thunell, N. Meckler, and G.H. Haug, Isotopic constraints on glacial/interglacial changes in the oceanic nitrogen budget, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, in review. Doney, S. C., J. A. Kleypas, J. L. Sarmiento, and P. G. Falkowski, 2002. The U. S. JGOFS Synthesis and Modeling Project — An introduction. Deep-Sea Res. II, 49: 1-20.
  • Doney, S. C., K. Lindsay, K. Caldeira, J.-M. Campin, H. Drange, J.-C. Dutay, M. Follows, Y. Gao, A. Gnanadesikan, N. Gruber, A. Ishida, F. Joos, G. Madec, E. Maier-Reimer, J.C. Marshall, R.J. Matear, P. Monfray, A. Mouchet, R. Najjar, J.C. Orr, G.-K. Plattner, J. Sarmiento, R. Schlitzer, R. Slater, I.J. Totterdell, M.-F. Weirig, Y. Yamanaka, and A. Yool, submitted. Evaluating global ocean carbon models: The importance of realistic physics. (Global Biogeochem. Cycles)
  • Dunne, J. P., R. A. Armstrong, A. Gnanadesikan, J. L. Sarmiento, and R. D. Slater, submitted. Empirical and mechanistic models for particle export ratio. (Global Biogeochem. Cycles)
  • Dutay, J.-C., J. L. Bullister, S. C. Doney, J. C. Orr, R. Najjar, K. Caldeira, J.-M. Campin, H. Drange, M. Follows, Y. Gao, N. Gruber, M. W. Hecht, A. Ishida, F. Joos, K. Lindsay, G. Madec, E. Maier- Reimer, J. C. Marshall, R. J. Matear, P. Monfray, A. Mouchet, G.-K. Plattner, J. Sarmiento, R. Schlitzer, R. Slater, I. J. Totterdell, M.-F. Weirig, Y. Yamanaka, A. Yool, 2002. Evaluation of ocean model ventilation with CFC-11: comparison of 13 global ocean models. Ocean Modelling, 4(2): 89- 120.
  • Edmonds, J., F. Joos, N. Nakicenovic, R. Richels, and J. L. Sarmiento, in press. Scenarios, targets, gaps, and costs. In: Toward CO2 Stabilization: Issues, Strategies, and Consequences, A SCOPE/GCP Rapid Assessment Project, ed. C. Field and M. Raupach, Island Press, Washington, D.C.
  • Gao, Y., S.-M. Fan, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2003. Aeolian iron input to the ocean through precipitation scavenging: a modeling perspective and its implication for natural iron fertilization in the ocean. (J. Geophys. Res., 108(D7), 4221, doi:10.1029/2002JD002420
  • Gloor, M., N. Gruber, T. M. C. Hughes, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2001. An inverse modeling method for estimation of net air-sea fluxes from bulk data: Methodology and application to the heat cycle. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15: 767-782.
  • Gloor, M., N. Gruber, J. L. Sarmiento, C. S. Sabine, R. Feely, and C. Rödenbeck, 2003. A first estimate of present and pre-industrial air-sea CO2 flux patterns based on ocean carbon measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(1): 10.1029/2002GL015594.
  • Gnanadesikan, A., J. P. Dunne, R. M. Key, K. Matsumoto, J. L. Sarmiento, R. D. Slater, and P,. S. Swathi, submitted. Oceanic vertical exchange and particulate export: Comparisons between models and new observational estimates. (Global Biogeochem. Cycles)
  • Gnanadesikan, A., J. L. Sarmiento, and R. D. Slater,2003. Effects of patchy ocean fertilization on atmospheric carbon dioxide and biological production. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 17 (2), doi: 10.1029/2002GB001940.
  • Gnanadesikan, A., R. D. Slater, N. Gruber, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2002. Oceanic vertical exchange and new production: a comparison between models and observations. Deep-Sea Res. II, 49: 363-402.
  • Greenblatt, J. B., and J. L. Sarmiento, in press. Variability and climate feedback mechanisms in ocean uptake of CO2. In: Toward CO2 Stabilization: Issues, Strategies, and Consequences, A SCOPE/GCP Rapid Assessment Project, ed. C. Field and M. Raupach, Island Press, Washington, D.C.
  • Gruber, N, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2002. Large –scale biogeochemical-physical interactions in elemental cycles. In: The Sea, ed. A. R. Robinson, J. J. McCarthy, and B. J. Rothschild, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. pp. 337-399.
  • Gurney, K. R., R. M. Law, A. S. Denning, P. J. Rayner, D. Baker, P. Bousquet, L. Bruhwiler, Y.-H. Chen, P. Ciais, S. Fan, I. Y. Fung, M. Gloor, M. Heimann, K. Higuchi, J. John, T. Maki, S. Maksyutov, K. Masarie, P. Peylin, M. Prather, B. C. Pak, J. Randerson, J. Sarmiento, S. Taguchi, T. Takahashi, and C.-W. Yuen, 2002. Towards more robust estimates of CO2 fluxes: control results from the TransCom3 inversion intercomparison. Nature, 415: 626-630.
  • Gurney, K. R., R. M. Law, A. S. Denning, P. J. Rayner, D. Baker, P. Bousquet, L. Bruhwiler, Y.-H. Chen, P. Ciais, S. Fan, I. Y. Fung, M. Gloor, M. Heimann, K. Higuchi, J. John, E. Kowalczyk, T. Maki, S. Maksyutov, P. Peylin, M. Prather, B. C. Pak, J. Sarmiento, S. Taguchi, T. Takahashi, and CW. Yuen, 2003. TransCom 3 CO2 inversion intercomparison: 1. Annual mean control results and sensitivity to transport and prior flux information. Tellus, 55B (2): 555-579.
  • Hastings, M.G., D. M. Sigman, and F. Lipschultz, Isotopic evidence for source changes of nitrate in rain at Bermuda, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, in press.
  • Haug, G.H., K.A. Hughen, D.M. Sigman, L.C. Peterson, and U. Rohl, Southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone through the Holocene, Science, 293, 1304-1308, 2001.
  • Heath, J.A., M.G. Hastings, D.M. Sigman, and B.J. Huebert, Atmospheric deposition of inorganic and organic nitrogen and base cations in Hawaii, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, in press.
  • Hixon, M.A., S.W. Pacala, and S.A. Sandin. 2002. Population regulation: historical context and contemporary challenges of open vs. closed systems. Ecology 83(6): 1490-1508.
  • Hurtt, G.C., R. Dubayah, J. Drake, P. Moorcroft, S. Pacala, and M. Fearon. 2003. Beyond Potential Vegetation: Combining Lidar Remote Sensing and a Height Structured Ecosystem Model for Improved Estimates of Carbon Stocks and Fluxes. Ecological Applications. (In Review)
  • Hurtt, G.C., S.W. Pacala, P.R. Moorcroft, J. Caspersen, E. Shevliakova, R.A. Houghton and B. Moore III. 2002. Projecting the Future of the U.S. Carbon Sink. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 99 (3), 1389-1394.
  • Iglesias-Rodriquez, M. D., R. Armstrong, R. Feely, R. Hood, J. Kleypas, J. D. Milliman, C. Sabine, and J. Sarmiento, 2002. The marine calcium carbonate budget in a changing ocean. EOS Transactions, 83 (34): 365, 374-375.
  • Karl, D., A. Michaels, B. Bergman, D. Capone, E. Carpenter, R. Letelier, F. Lipschultz, H. Paerl, D. Sigman, and L. Stal, Dinitrogen fixation in the world’s oceans, Biogeochemistry, 2002. 57/58, 47– 98.
  • Karsh, K.L., T.W. Trull, M.J. Lourey, and D.M. Sigman, Relationship of nitrogen isotope fractionation to phytoplankton size and iron availability during the SOIREE Southern Ocean Iron RElease Experiment, Limnology and Oceanography, in press.
  • Kinzig, A.P. and S.W. Pacala. 2002. Successional Biodiversity and Ecosystem Functioning. Pp. 175- 212. In: A.P Kinzig, S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (eds.). The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Kinzig, A.P. S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (Eds.) 2002. The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Kinzig, A.P., S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman. 2002. Looking Back, Peering Forward. Pp. 314-329. In: A.P Kinzig, S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (eds.). The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Levin, S.A. and S.W. Pacala. 2003. Ecosystem Dynamics. In: (K.-G. Mäler andJ. Vincent, eds) Handbook of Environmental Economics. Elsevier/North Holland, Amsterdam. Vol. 1: 61-95.
  • Lourey, M.J., T.W. Trull, D.M. Sigman, Sensitivity of 15N of nitrate, surface suspended and deep sinking particulate nitrogen to seasonal nitrate depletion in the Southern Ocean, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2003, 17(3), 1081, doi:10.1029/2002GB001973, 2003.
  • Maksyutov, S., T. Machida, H. Mukai, P. Patra, T. Nakazawa, G. Inoue, and TransCom-3 Modelers, 2003. Effect of recent observations on Asian CO2 flux estimates with transport model inversions. Tellus 55B (2): 522-529.
  • Marinov, I., and J. L. Sarmiento, submitted. The role of the oceans in the global carbon cycle: An overview. In: Ocean Carbon Cycle and Climate, ed. M. Follows and T. Oguz, NATO ASI, Ankara, Turkey.
  • Matsumoto, K., J. L. Sarmiento, and M. A. Brzezinski, 2002. Silicic acid leakage from the Southern Ocean as a possible mechanism for explaining glacial atmospheric pCO2. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 16 (10): 10.1029/2001GB001442.
  • McNeil, B. I., R. J. Matear, R. M. Key, J. L. Bullister, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2003. Anthropogenic CO2 uptake by the ocean based on the global chlorofluorocarbon dataset Science, 299: 235-239.
  • B. K. Mignone , J. L. Sarmiento, R. D. Slater, A. Gnanadesikan, Sensitivity of Sequestration Efficiency to Mixing Processes in the Global Ocean Accepted for publication in Energy
  • Moorcroft, P.R., G.C. Hurtt and S.W. Pacala. 2001. A Method for Scaling Vegetation Dynamics: the Ecosystem Demography Model (ED). Ecological Monographs, 71(4), 557-586.
  • Orr, J. C., E. Maier-Reimer, U. Mikolajewicz, P. Monfray, J. L. Sarmiento, J. R. Toggweiler, N. K. Taylor, J. Palmer, N. Gruber, C. L. Sabine, C. Le Quéré, R. M. Key, and J. Boutin, 2001. Estimates of anthropogenic carbon uptake from four threedimensional global ocean models . Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15: 443-60.
  • Pacala, S.W., J. P. Caspersen and M. Hansen. 2004. Forest Inventory Data Falsify Ecosystem Models of CO2 Fertilization. (Manuscript.)
  • Pacala, S.W., J. P. Caspersen, P.R. Moorcroft, G.C. Hurtt . 2001 Carbon storage in the US caused by land use change. Pp. 145-172. In The Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change. Terra Scientific Publishing. Toyko, Japan.
  • Pacala, S.W., G.C. Hurtt, R.A. Houghton, R.A Birdsey, L. Heath, E.T. Sundquist, R.F. Stallard, D. Baker, P. Peylin, P. Moorcroft, J. Caspersen, E. Shevliakova, M.E. Harmon, S.-M. Fan, J.L. Sarmiento, C. Goodale, C.B. Field, M. Gloor and D. Schimel. 2001. Consistent Land- and Atmosphere- Based U.S. Carbon Sink Estimates. Science 292 (5525): 2316-2320.
  • Pacala, S.W. and A.P. Kinzig. 2002. Introduction to Theory and the Common Ecosystem Model. Pp. 169-174. In: A.P Kinzig, S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (eds.). The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Pacala, S.W. and G.D. Tilman. 2002. The Transition from Sampling to Complementarity. Pp. 151-166. In: A.P Kinzig, S.W. Pacala and G.D. Tilman (eds.). The Functional Consequences of Biodiversity: Experimental Progress and Theoretical Extensions. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
  • Pantoja, S., D.J. Repeta, J.P. Sachs, and D.M. Sigman, Stable isotope constraints on the nitrogen cycle of the Mediterranean Sea water column, Deep- Sea Research I, 2002. 4: 1609 –1621.
  • Patra, P. K., S. Maksyutov, and TransCom-3 Modelers, 2003. Sensitivity of optimal extension of observation networks to the model transport. Tellus, 55B (2): 498-511.
  • Peylin, P., D. Baker, J. Sarmiento, P. Ciais, P. Bousquet, 2002. Influence of transport uncertainty on annual mean and seasonal inversions of atmospheric CO2 data. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D19), 4385, doi:10.1029/2001JD000857.
  • Purves , D.W. and S.W. Pacala. 2003. Ecological drift in niche-structured communities: neutral pattern does not imply neutral process. (Submitted to British Ecological Society for publication Oct. 2003.
  • Purves D. W., J.P. Caspersen, P.R. Moorcroft, G.C. Hurtt, S.W. Pacala. 2003. Human-induced Changes in U.S. Biogenic VOC Emissions: evidence from long-term forest inventory data. (Manuscript.)
  • Rees, M., R. Condit, M. Crawley, S.W. Pacala and D. Tilman. 2001. Vegetation Dynamics (9315). Science 293 (5530): 650-655. Sandin, S.A. and S.W. Pacala. 2003. Regulation in populations of coral reef fish: an exploration of models and data. Proceedings of the Ninth International Coral Reef Symposium, Bali. (In press)
  • Robinson, R.S., B.G. Brunelle and D.M. Sigman, Revisiting nutrient utilization in the glacial Antarctic: Evidence from a new method for diatombound N isotopic analysis, Paleoceanography, in review.
  • Sarmiento, J. L., J. Dunne, A. Gnanadesikan, R. M. Key, K. Matsumoto, and R. Slater, 2002. A new estimate of the CaCO3 to organic carbon export ratio. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 16 (4), 1107, doi:10.1029/2002GB001919.
  • Sarmiento, J. L. and N. Gruber, 2002. Sinks for anthropogenic carbon. Physics Today, August 2002, pp. 30-36.
  • Sarmiento, J. L., R. Slater, R. Barber, L. Bopp, S. C. Doney, A. C. Hirst, J. Kleypas, R. Matear, U. Mikolajewicz, P. Monfray, V. Soldatov, S. A. Spall, and R. Stouffer, submitted. Response of Ocean Ecosystems to Climate Warming. (Global Biogeochem . Cycles)
  • Schimel, D.S., J.I. House, K.A. Hibbard, P. Bousquet, P. Ciais, P. Peylin, B.H. Braswell, M.J. Apps, D. Baker, A. Bondeau, J. Canadell, G. Churkina, W. Cramer, A.S. Denning, C.B. Field, P. Friedlingstein, C. Goodale, M. Heimann, R.A. Houghton, J.M. Melillo, B. Moore III, D. Murdiyarso, I. Noble, S.W. Pacala, I.C. Prentice, M.R. Raupach, P.J. Rayner, R.J. Scholes, W.L. Steffen, C. Wirth. 2001. Recent patterns and mechanisms of carbon exchange by terrestrial ecosystems. Nature 414, 169 – 172.
  • Sigman, D.M., and K.L. Casciotti, Nitrogen isotopes in the ocean, in Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, edited by J.H. Steele, K.K. Turekian, and S.A. Thorpe, pp. 2449, Academic Press, London, 2001.
  • Sigman, D.M., K.L. Casciotti, M. Andreani, C. Barford, M. Galanter, and J.K. Bohlke, A bacterial method for the nitrogen isotopic analysis of nitrate in seawater and freshwater, Analytical Chemistry, 2001. 73 (17), 4145-4153.
  • Sigman, D.M., and G.H. Haug, Biological Pump in the Past, in Treatise On Geochemistry, edited by H.D. Holland and K.K. Turekian (H. Elderfield, volume editor), Elsevier Science, Oxford, in press.
  • Sigman, D.M., S.J. Lehman, and D.W. Oppo, Evaluating mechanisms of nutrient depletion and 13C enrichment in the intermediate-depth Atlantic during the last ice age, Paleoceanography, 18(3), 1072, doi:10.1029/2002PA000818, 2003.
  • Toggweiler, J. R., A. Gnanadesikan, S. Carson, R. Murnane, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2003. Representation of the carbon cycle in box models and GCMs, Part 1, the solubility pump, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 17(1): 1026, doi:10.1029/2001GB001401.
  • Toggweiler, J. R., R. Murnane, S. Carson, A. Gnanadesikan, and J. L. Sarmiento, 2003. Representation of the carbon cycle in box models and GCMs, Part 2, the organic carbon pump, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 17(1): 1027, doi:10.1029/2001GB001841.
  • Tortell, P.D., G.R. DiTullio, D.M. Sigman, and F.M.M. Morel, CO2 effects on taxonomic composition and nutrient utilization in an Equatorial Pacific phytoplankton assemblage, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 2002. 236, 37-43.
  • Watson, A. J., J. C. Orr, O. Aumont, K. G. Caldeira, J.-M. Campin, S. C. Doney, H. Drange, M. J. Follows, Y. Gao, A. Gnanadesikan, N. Gruber, A. Ishida, F. Joos, R. M. Key, K. Lindsay, F. Louanchi, E. Maier-Reimer, R. J. Matear, P. Monfray, A. Mouchet, R. G. Najjar, G.-K. Plattner, C. L. Sabine, J. L. Sarmiento, R. Schlitzer, R. D. Slater, I. Totterdell, M.-G. Weirig, M. E. Wickett, Y. Yamanaka, and A. Yool, in press. Carbon dioxide